Consensus board vs. draft day: the full WR class, charted.
The Steal
Kelvin Harmon was ranked WR9 on the consensus board (#61 overall) but lasted until pick 206, where the Washington Commanders took him in Round 6. A 145-spot fall, the largest gap between consensus and draft day of any WR in the class. Behind him, Dillon Mitchell (+103) and Hakeem Butler (+63) also outlasted their rankings.
The Conviction Pick
The Pittsburgh Steelers took Diontae Johnson at pick 66, 112 spots ahead of his #178 consensus rank. That's the league's strongest disagreement with the public board at the position. Teams showed similar conviction on Jalen Hurd (68 spots) and Mecole Hardman (60 spots).
The Cliff
After Scott Miller went at pick 208, the next WR didn't come off the board for 28 picks. That's the sharpest drop in the class.
The Spend
Teams spent 28 picks on WR, 9 of them in the first two rounds. That's below the position's average of 32.4 since 2018.
The Bet
The San Francisco 49ers spent more draft capital on WR than any other club: picks 36 and 67, 35% of their total draft investment.
The One Who Slipped
Emanuel Hall, ranked #85 on the consensus board, went undrafted through all 254 picks.
| Pick | Player | Pos Rank | Consensus | Δ | School | Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Marquise Brown | WR3 | #30 | −5 | Oklahoma | Baltimore |
| 32 | N'Keal Harry | WR4 | #34 | −2 | Arizona State | New England |
| 36 | Deebo Samuel | WR6 | #41 | −5 | South Carolina | San Francisco |
| 51 | A.J. Brown | WR2 | #28 | +23 | Mississippi | Tennessee |
| 56 | Mecole Hardman | WR15 | #116 | −60 | Georgia | Kansas City |
| 57 | J.J. Arcega-Whiteside | WR8 | #56 | +1 | Stanford | Philadelphia |
| 59 | Parris Campbell | WR7 | #54 | +5 | Ohio State | Indianapolis |
| 62 | Andy Isabella | WR10 | #71 | −9 | Massachusetts | Arizona |
| 64 | D.K. Metcalf | WR1 | #21 | +43 | Mississippi | Seattle |
| 66 | Diontae Johnson | WR23 | #178 | −112 | Toledo | Pittsburgh |
| 67 | Jalen Hurd | WR17 | #135 | −68 | Baylor | San Francisco |
| 76 | Terry McLaurin | WR12 | #81 | −5 | Ohio State | Washington |
| 93 | Miles Boykin | WR13 | #82 | +11 | Notre Dame | Baltimore |
| 103 | Hakeem Butler | WR5 | #40 | +63 | Iowa State | Arizona |
| 120 | Gary Jennings Jr. | WR19 | #141 | −21 | West Virginia | Seattle |
| 126 | Riley Ridley | WR11 | #72 | +54 | Georgia | Chicago |
| 149 | Hunter Renfrow | WR29 | #204 | −55 | Clemson | Las Vegas |
| 171 | Darius Slayton | WR20 | #156 | +15 | Auburn | NY Giants |
| 174 | KeeSean Johnson | WR27 | #187 | −13 | Fresno State | Arizona |
| 184 | Travis Fulgham | WR26 | #183 | +1 | Old Dominion | Detroit |
| 187 | Juwann Winfree | WR51 | #406 | −219 | Colorado | Denver |
| 203 | Marcus Green | WR58 | #438 | −235 | La-Monroe | Atlanta |
| 206 | Kelvin Harmon | WR9 | #61 | +145 | North Carolina State | Washington |
| 208 | Scott Miller | WR57 | #433 | −225 | Bowling Green | Tampa Bay |
| 236 | John Ursua | WR56 | #432 | −196 | Hawaii | Seattle |
| 237 | Terry Godwin | WR43 | #337 | −100 | Georgia | Carolina |
| 239 | Dillon Mitchell | WR18 | #136 | +103 | Oregon | Minnesota |
| 247 | Olabisi Johnson | WR42 | #325 | −78 | — | Minnesota |
| Undrafted (UDFA) | ||||||
| — | Emanuel Hall | WR14 | #85 | — | Missouri | — |
| — | Anthony Johnson | WR16 | #131 | — | Buffalo | — |
| — | Antoine Wesley | WR21 | #163 | — | Texas Tech | — |
| — | Stanley Morgan Jr. | WR22 | #164 | — | Nebraska | — |
| — | David Sills | WR24 | #180 | — | West Virginia | — |
| — | Preston Williams | WR25 | #181 | — | — | — |
| — | Penny Hart | WR28 | #201 | — | — | — |
| — | Jakobi Meyers | WR30 | #220 | — | North Carolina State | — |
| — | Reggie White Jr. | WR31 | #227 | — | — | — |
| — | DaMarkus Lodge | WR32 | #237 | — | Mississippi | — |
| — | Keelan Doss | WR33 | #257 | — | UC Davis | — |
| — | Greg Dortch | WR34 | #259 | — | Wake Forest | — |
| — | Tyre Brady | WR35 | #279 | — | Marshall | — |
| — | Anthony Ratliff-Williams | WR36 | #286 | — | — | — |
| — | Lil'Jordan Humphrey | WR37 | #302 | — | Texas | — |
| — | Olamide Zaccheaus | WR38 | #309 | — | — | — |
| — | Jazz Ferguson | WR39 | #314 | — | Northwestern St. (LA) | — |
| — | Alex Wesley | WR40 | #318 | — | Northern Colorado | — |
| — | Ashton Dulin | WR41 | #322 | — | Malone University (Ohio) | — |
| — | Jaylen Smith | WR44 | #342 | — | Louisville | — |
| — | Felton Davis | WR45 | #353 | — | Michigan State | — |
| — | Justin Sumpter | WR46 | #361 | — | — | — |
| — | Kavontae Turpin | WR47 | #381 | — | — | — |
| — | Johnnie Dixon | WR48 | #387 | — | Ohio State | — |
| — | Nyqwan Murray | WR49 | #391 | — | Florida State | — |
| — | Cody Thompson | WR50 | #395 | — | Toledo | — |
| — | Felton Davis III | WR52 | #412 | — | Michigan State | — |
| — | Jeff Smith | WR53 | #416 | — | — | — |
| — | James Gardner | WR54 | #419 | — | — | — |
| — | Kelvin McKnight | WR55 | #420 | — | — | — |
Pre-draft projections derive from Jack Lichtenstein's Consensus Big Board, an aggregation of published analyst boards.