Consensus board vs. draft day: the full QB class, charted.
The Steal
Justin Fields was ranked QB2 on the consensus board (#5 overall) but lasted until pick 11, where the Chicago Bears took him in Round 1. A 6-spot fall, the largest gap between consensus and draft day of any QB in the class.
The Conviction Pick
The New Orleans Saints took Ian Book at pick 133, 104 spots ahead of his #237 consensus rank. That's the league's strongest disagreement with the public board at the position. Teams showed similar conviction on Kellen Mond (33 spots) and Kyle Trask (27 spots).
The Cliff
After Ian Book went at pick 133, the next QB didn't come off the board for 85 picks. That's the sharpest drop in the class.
The Spend
Teams spent 10 picks on QB, 6 of them in the first two rounds. That's below the position's average of 11.9 since 2018.
The Bet
The Jacksonville Jaguars spent more draft capital on QB than any other club: pick 1, 25% of their total draft investment.
The One Who Slipped
Jamie Newman, ranked #160 on the consensus board, went undrafted through all 259 picks.
| Pick | Player | Pos Rank | Consensus | Δ | School | Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevor Lawrence | QB1 | #1 | 0 | Clemson | Jacksonville |
| 2 | Zach Wilson | QB3 | #6 | −4 | BYU | NY Jets |
| 3 | Trey Lance | QB4 | #12 | −9 | North Dakota State | San Francisco |
| 11 | Justin Fields | QB2 | #5 | +6 | Ohio State | Chicago |
| 15 | Mac Jones | QB5 | #27 | −12 | Alabama | New England |
| 64 | Kyle Trask | QB6 | #91 | −27 | Florida | Tampa Bay |
| 66 | Kellen Mond | QB8 | #99 | −33 | Texas A&M | Minnesota |
| 67 | Davis Mills | QB7 | #93 | −26 | Stanford | Houston |
| 133 | Ian Book | QB11 | #237 | −104 | Notre Dame | New Orleans |
| 218 | Sam Ehlinger | QB10 | #233 | −15 | Texas | Indianapolis |
| Undrafted (UDFA) | ||||||
| — | Jamie Newman | QB9 | #160 | — | Georgia | — |
| — | Feleipe Franks | QB12 | #245 | — | Arkansas | — |
| — | Shane Buechele | QB13 | #268 | — | — | — |
| — | K.J. Costello | QB | — | — | — | — |
| — | Peyton Ramsey | QB | — | — | Northwestern | — |
| — | Zach Smith | QB | — | — | Tulsa | — |
Pre-draft projections are from the Wide Left Consensus Big Board compiled by Arif Hasan, an aggregation of published analyst boards.