Consensus board vs. draft day: the full QB class, charted.
The Steal
Jake Fromm was ranked QB7 on the consensus board (#85 overall) but lasted until pick 167, where the Buffalo Bills took him in Round 5. A 82-spot fall, the largest gap between consensus and draft day of any QB in the class. Behind him, Jacob Eason (+45) and Nate Stanley (+15) also outlasted their rankings.
The Conviction Pick
The New York Jets took James Morgan at pick 125, 58 spots ahead of his #183 consensus rank. That's the league's strongest disagreement with the public board at the position. Teams showed similar conviction on Jake Luton (57 spots) and Jalen Hurts (18 spots).
The Cliff
After Jalen Hurts went at pick 53, the next QB didn't come off the board for 69 picks. That's the sharpest drop in the class.
The Spend
Teams spent 13 picks on QB, 5 of them in the first two rounds. That's above the position's average of 11.9 since 2018.
The Bet
The Cincinnati Bengals spent more draft capital on QB than any other club: pick 1, 36% of their total draft investment.
The One Who Slipped
Anthony Gordon, ranked #159 on the consensus board, went undrafted through all 255 picks.
| Pick | Player | Pos Rank | Consensus | Δ | School | Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joe Burrow | QB1 | #2 | −1 | LSU | Cincinnati |
| 5 | Tua Tagovailoa | QB2 | #5 | 0 | Alabama | Miami |
| 6 | Justin Herbert | QB3 | #15 | −9 | Oregon | LA Chargers |
| 26 | Jordan Love | QB4 | #35 | −9 | Utah State | Green Bay |
| 53 | Jalen Hurts | QB5 | #71 | −18 | Oklahoma | Philadelphia |
| 122 | Jacob Eason | QB6 | #77 | +45 | Washington | Indianapolis |
| 125 | James Morgan | QB9 | #183 | −58 | Florida International | NY Jets |
| 167 | Jake Fromm | QB7 | #85 | +82 | Georgia | Buffalo |
| 189 | Jake Luton | QB12 | #246 | −57 | Oregon State | Jacksonville |
| 224 | Cole McDonald | QB10 | #222 | +2 | Hawaii | Tennessee |
| 231 | Ben DiNucci | QB | — | — | James Madison | Dallas |
| 240 | Tommy Stevens | QB | — | — | Mississippi State | New Orleans |
| 244 | Nate Stanley | QB11 | #229 | +15 | Iowa | Minnesota |
| Undrafted (UDFA) | ||||||
| — | Anthony Gordon | QB8 | #159 | — | Washington State | — |
| — | Steven Montez | QB13 | #252 | — | Colorado | — |
| — | Tyler Huntley | QB14 | #297 | — | — | — |
| — | Brian Lewerke | QB | — | — | Michigan State | — |
| — | Bryce Perkins | QB | — | — | — | — |
| — | Case Cookus | QB | — | — | — | — |
| — | J'Mar Smith | QB | — | — | — | — |
| — | Josh Love | QB | — | — | — | — |
| — | Kevin Davidson | QB | — | — | Princeton | — |
| — | Reid Sinnett | QB | — | — | — | — |
| — | Shea Patterson | QB | — | — | Michigan | — |
Pre-draft projections are from the Wide Left Consensus Big Board compiled by Arif Hasan, an aggregation of published analyst boards.