Consensus board vs. draft day: the full QB class, charted.
The Steal
Luke Falk was ranked QB9 on the consensus board (#135 overall) but lasted until pick 199, where the Tennessee Titans took him in Round 6. A 64-spot fall, the largest gap between consensus and draft day of any QB in the class. Behind him, Mike White (+49) and Mason Rudolph (+21) also outlasted their rankings.
The Conviction Pick
The Buffalo Bills took Josh Allen at pick 7, 20 spots ahead of his #27 consensus rank. That's the league's strongest disagreement with the public board at the position. Teams showed similar conviction on Baker Mayfield (10 spots).
The Cliff
After Kyle Lauletta went at pick 108, the next QB didn't come off the board for 63 picks. That's the sharpest drop in the class.
The Spend
Teams spent 13 picks on QB, 5 of them in the first two rounds. That's above the position's average of 11.9 since 2018.
The Bet
The Cleveland Browns spent more draft capital on QB than any other club: pick 1, 23% of their total draft investment.
The One Who Slipped
Kurt Benkert, ranked #193 on the consensus board, went undrafted through all 256 picks.
| Pick | Player | Pos Rank | Consensus | Δ | School | Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baker Mayfield | QB3 | #11 | −10 | Oklahoma | Cleveland |
| 3 | Sam Darnold | QB2 | #8 | −5 | USC | NY Jets |
| 7 | Josh Allen | QB5 | #27 | −20 | Wyoming | Buffalo |
| 10 | Josh Rosen | QB1 | #4 | +6 | UCLA | Arizona |
| 32 | Lamar Jackson | QB4 | #21 | +11 | Louisville | Baltimore |
| 76 | Mason Rudolph | QB6 | #55 | +21 | Oklahoma State | Pittsburgh |
| 108 | Kyle Lauletta | QB7 | #98 | +10 | Richmond | NY Giants |
| 171 | Mike White | QB8 | #122 | +49 | Western Kentucky | Dallas |
| 199 | Luke Falk | QB9 | #135 | +64 | Washington State | Tennessee |
| 203 | Tanner Lee | QB13 | #272 | −69 | Nebraska | Jacksonville |
| 219 | Danny Etling | QB | — | — | LSU | New England |
| 220 | Alex McGough | QB | — | — | Florida International | Seattle |
| 249 | Logan Woodside | QB14 | #286 | −37 | Toledo | Cincinnati |
| Undrafted (UDFA) | ||||||
| — | Kurt Benkert | QB10 | #193 | — | Virginia | — |
| — | Riley Ferguson | QB11 | #221 | — | Memphis | — |
| — | Chase Litton | QB12 | #232 | — | Marshall | — |
| — | Nic Shimonek | QB15 | #288 | — | Texas Tech | — |
| — | Dalton Sturm | QB | — | — | — | — |
| — | Kyle Allen | QB | — | — | — | — |
| — | Quinton Flowers | QB | — | — | South Florida | — |
Pre-draft projections are from the Wide Left Consensus Big Board compiled by Arif Hasan, an aggregation of published analyst boards.