Consensus board vs. draft day: the full QB class, charted.
The Steal
Brad Kaaya was ranked QB7 on the consensus board (#112 overall) but lasted until pick 215, where the Detroit Lions took him in Round 6. A 103-spot fall, the largest gap between consensus and draft day of any QB in the class. Behind him, Nathan Peterman (+63) and Chad Kelly (+17) also outlasted their rankings.
The Conviction Pick
The San Francisco 49ers took C.J. Beathard at pick 104, 116 spots ahead of his #220 consensus rank. That's the league's strongest disagreement with the public board at the position. Teams showed similar conviction on Joshua Dobbs (42 spots) and Mitchell Trubisky (21 spots).
The Cliff
No cliff this year. Teams drafted QBs steadily from pick 2 to pick 253.
The Spend
Teams spent 10 picks on QB, 4 of them in the first two rounds. That's below the position's average of 11.9 since 2018.
The Bet
The Chicago Bears spent more draft capital on QB than any other club: pick 2, 45% of their total draft investment.
The One Who Slipped
Jerod Evans, ranked #214 on the consensus board, went undrafted through all 253 picks.
| Pick | Player | Pos Rank | Consensus | Δ | School | Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mitchell Trubisky | QB2 | #23 | −21 | North Carolina | Chicago |
| 10 | Patrick Mahomes | QB3 | #30 | −20 | Texas Tech | Kansas City |
| 12 | Deshaun Watson | QB1 | #22 | −10 | Clemson | Houston |
| 52 | DeShone Kizer | QB4 | #40 | +12 | Notre Dame | Cleveland |
| 87 | Davis Webb | QB5 | #105 | −18 | California | NY Giants |
| 104 | C.J. Beathard | QB10 | #220 | −116 | Iowa | San Francisco |
| 135 | Joshua Dobbs | QB8 | #177 | −42 | Tennessee | Pittsburgh |
| 171 | Nathan Peterman | QB6 | #108 | +63 | Pittsburgh | Buffalo |
| 215 | Brad Kaaya | QB7 | #112 | +103 | Miami | Detroit |
| 253 | Chad Kelly | QB11 | #236 | +17 | Mississippi | Denver |
| Undrafted (UDFA) | ||||||
| — | Jerod Evans | QB9 | #214 | — | Virginia Tech | — |
| — | Cooper Rush | QB12 | #298 | — | Central Michigan | — |
| — | Alek Torgersen | QB | — | — | — | — |
| — | Bart Houston | QB | — | — | — | — |
| — | Dane Evans | QB | — | — | — | — |
| — | Nick Mullens | QB | — | — | — | — |
| — | PJ Walker | QB | — | — | — | — |
| — | Seth Russell | QB | — | — | Baylor | — |
| — | Zach Terrell | QB | — | — | — | — |
Pre-draft projections are from the Wide Left Consensus Big Board compiled by Arif Hasan, an aggregation of published analyst boards.